- 오름▼0.5%p49.5%
- 내림▲0.5%p50.5%
예측 시장
선거·경제·스포츠·코인 가격 같은 일이 어떻게 될지 사람들이 돈을 걸어 매긴 확률입니다. 폴리마켓·칼시 두 곳을 한 화면에 모았습니다.
- 오름▲0.5%p50.5%
- 내림▼0.5%p49.5%
- $2,230 to 2,234.9958%
- $2,225 to 2,229.9917%
- $2,235 to 2,239.9917%
- $2,220 to 2,224.993%
선택지 296개 더 보기
- $2,240 to 2,244.992%
- $2,215 to 2,219.991%
- $2,245 to 2,249.991%
- $1,455 to 1,459.990%
- $1,460 to 1,464.990%
- $1,465 to 1,469.990%
- $1,470 to 1,474.990%
- $1,475 to 1,479.990%
- $1,480 to 1,484.990%
- $1,485 to 1,489.990%
- $1,490 to 1,494.990%
- $1,495 to 1,499.990%
- $1,500 to 1,504.990%
- $1,505 to 1,509.990%
- $1,510 to 1,514.990%
- $1,515 to 1,519.990%
- $1,520 to 1,524.990%
- $1,525 to 1,529.990%
- $1,530 to 1,534.990%
- $1,535 to 1,539.990%
- $1,540 to 1,544.990%
- $1,545 to 1,549.990%
- $1,550 to 1,554.990%
- $1,555 to 1,559.990%
- $1,560 to 1,564.990%
- $1,565 to 1,569.990%
- $1,570 to 1,574.990%
- $1,575 to 1,579.990%
- $1,580 to 1,584.990%
- $1,585 to 1,589.990%
- $1,590 to 1,594.990%
- $1,595 to 1,599.990%
- $1,600 to 1,604.990%
- $1,605 to 1,609.990%
- $1,610 to 1,614.990%
- $1,615 to 1,619.990%
나머지 260개는 칼시에서 보세요.
- $77.25 to 77.499940%
- $77.5 to 77.749924%
- $77 to 77.249921%
- $77.75 to 77.99997%
선택지 296개 더 보기
- $76.75 to 76.99995.5%
- $100 to 100.24990%
- $100.25 to 100.49990%
- $100.5 to 100.74990%
- $100.75 to 100.99990%
- $101 to 101.24990%
- $101.25 to 101.49990%
- $101.5 to 101.74990%
- $101.75 to 101.99990%
- $102 to 102.24990%
- $102.25 to 102.49990%
- $102.5 to 102.74990%
- $102.75 to 102.99990%
- $103 to 103.24990%
- $103.25 to 103.49990%
- $103.5 to 103.74990%
- $103.75 to 103.99990%
- $104 to 104.24990%
- $104.25 to 104.49990%
- $104.5 to 104.74990%
- $104.75 to 104.99990%
- $105 to 105.24990%
- $105.25 to 105.49990%
- $105.5 to 105.74990%
- $105.75 to 105.99990%
- $106 to 106.24990%
- $106.25 to 106.49990%
- $106.5 to 106.74990%
- $106.75 to 106.99990%
- $107 to 107.24990%
- $107.25 to 107.49990%
- $107.5 to 107.74990%
- $107.75 to 107.99990%
- $108 to 108.24990%
- $108.25 to 108.49990%
- $108.5 to 108.74990%
나머지 260개는 칼시에서 보세요.
- 오름▲42.0%p92%
- 내림▼42.0%p8%
- 오름▲25.0%p75%
- 내림▼25.0%p25%
- $575 이상90%
- $595 이상74%
- $570 이상70.5%
- $580 이상70.5%
선택지 46개 더 보기
- $590 이상69%
- $565 이상68.5%
- $585 이상67.5%
- $600 이상57.5%
- $810 이상0%
- $800 이상0%
- $805 이상0%
- $605 이상0%
- $610 이상0%
- $615 이상0%
- $620 이상0%
- $625 이상0%
- $630 이상0%
- $635 이상0%
- $640 이상0%
- $645 이상0%
- $650 이상0%
- $655 이상0%
- $660 이상0%
- $665 이상0%
- $670 이상0%
- $675 이상0%
- $680 이상0%
- $685 이상0%
- $690 이상0%
- $695 이상0%
- $700 이상0%
- $705 이상0%
- $710 이상0%
- $715 이상0%
- $720 이상0%
- $725 이상0%
- $730 이상0%
- $735 이상0%
- $740 이상0%
- $745 이상0%
나머지 10개는 칼시에서 보세요.
- $2,200 to 2,239.9912.5%
- $2,280 to 2,319.9911%
- $2,120 to 2,159.9911%
- $2,160 to 2,199.9910.5%
선택지 46개 더 보기
- $2,240 to 2,279.998%
- $2,320 to 2,359.998%
- $2,360 to 2,399.996.5%
- $2,080 to 2,119.995.5%
- $2,040 to 2,079.994%
- $2,400 to 2,439.994%
- $2,000 to 2,039.993%
- $2,440 to 2,479.993%
- $1,960 to 1,999.992.5%
- $2,520 to 2,559.992.5%
- $1,920 to 1,959.992%
- $2,480 to 2,519.992%
- $1,240 to 1,279.990%
- $1,280 to 1,319.990%
- $1,320 to 1,359.990%
- $3,080 to 3,119.990%
- $3,120 to 3,159.990%
- $1,239.99 이하0%
- $3,160 이상0%
- $1,720 to 1,759.990%
- $1,800 to 1,839.990%
- $1,840 to 1,879.990%
- $2,560 to 2,599.990%
- $2,600 to 2,639.990%
- $2,640 to 2,679.990%
- $1,360 to 1,399.990%
- $1,400 to 1,439.990%
- $1,440 to 1,479.990%
- $1,480 to 1,519.990%
- $1,520 to 1,559.990%
- $1,560 to 1,599.990%
- $1,600 to 1,639.990%
- $1,640 to 1,679.990%
- $1,680 to 1,719.990%
- $1,760 to 1,799.990%
- $1,880 to 1,919.990%
나머지 10개는 칼시에서 보세요.
- 오름50%
- 내림50%
- 오름50%
- 내림50%
- 75,60097.4%
- 75,20061%
- 75,00061%
- 74,80061%
선택지 16개 더 보기
- 74,60061%
- 74,40061%
- 74,20061%
- 74,00061%
- 73,80061%
- 75,40050%
- 76,0002.65%
- 77,0002.25%
- 76,8002.25%
- 76,6002.25%
- 76,4002.25%
- 76,2002.25%
- 77,8002.2%
- 77,6002.2%
- 77,4002.2%
- 77,2002.2%
- 오름▼0.5%p50%
- 내림▲0.5%p50%
- 2,23096%
- 2,21061%
- 2,20061%
- 2,19061%
선택지 12개 더 보기
- 2,18061%
- 2,17061%
- 2,16061%
- 2,22050%
- 2,2502.35%
- 2,2602.25%
- 2,3202%
- 2,3102%
- 2,3002%
- 2,2902%
- 2,2802%
- 2,2702%
- 오름▲30.5%p80.5%
- 내림▼30.5%p19.5%
- $89.5 to 89.749951%
- $89.25 to 89.499923%
- $89.75 to 89.999913%
- $89 to 89.24995%
선택지 296개 더 보기
- $100 to 100.24990%
- $100.25 to 100.49990%
- $100.5 to 100.74990%
- $100.75 to 100.99990%
- $101 to 101.24990%
- $101.25 to 101.49990%
- $101.5 to 101.74990%
- $101.75 to 101.99990%
- $102 to 102.24990%
- $102.25 to 102.49990%
- $102.5 to 102.74990%
- $102.75 to 102.99990%
- $103 to 103.24990%
- $103.25 to 103.49990%
- $103.5 to 103.74990%
- $103.75 to 103.99990%
- $104 to 104.24990%
- $104.25 to 104.49990%
- $104.5 to 104.74990%
- $104.75 to 104.99990%
- $105 to 105.24990%
- $105.25 to 105.49990%
- $105.5 to 105.74990%
- $105.75 to 105.99990%
- $106 to 106.24990%
- $106.25 to 106.49990%
- $106.5 to 106.74990%
- $106.75 to 106.99990%
- $107 to 107.24990%
- $107.25 to 107.49990%
- $107.5 to 107.74990%
- $107.75 to 107.99990%
- $108 to 108.24990%
- $108.25 to 108.49990%
- $108.5 to 108.74990%
- $108.75 to 108.99990%
나머지 260개는 칼시에서 보세요.
- 오름▲1.5%p51.5%
- 내림▼1.5%p48.5%
- $0.07 to 0.074999969.5%
- $0.065 to 0.06999995%
- $0.01 to 0.01499990%
- $0.015 to 0.01999990%
선택지 29개 더 보기
- $0.02 to 0.02499990%
- $0.025 to 0.02999990%
- $0.03 to 0.03499990%
- $0.035 to 0.03999990%
- $0.11 to 0.11499990%
- $0.115 to 0.11999990%
- $0.12 to 0.12499990%
- $0.125 to 0.12999990%
- $0.13 to 0.13499990%
- $0.135 to 0.13999990%
- $0.14 to 0.14499990%
- $0.145 to 0.14999990%
- $0.15 to 0.15499990%
- $0.155 to 0.15999990%
- $0.16 to 0.16499990%
- $0.0099999 이하0%
- $0.165 이상0%
- $0.075 to 0.07999990%
- $0.08 to 0.08499990%
- $0.04 to 0.04499990%
- $0.055 to 0.05999990%
- $0.06 to 0.06499990%
- $0.095 to 0.09999990%
- $0.105 to 0.10999990%
- $0.09 to 0.09499990%
- $0.045 to 0.04999990%
- $0.05 to 0.05499990%
- $0.085 to 0.08999990%
- $0.1 to 0.10499990%
- $0.07 to 0.074999998.5%
- $0.01 to 0.01499991%
- $0.015 to 0.01999990%
- $0.02 to 0.02499990%
선택지 47개 더 보기
- $0.025 to 0.02999990%
- $0.03 to 0.03499990%
- $0.035 to 0.03999990%
- $0.04 to 0.04499990%
- $0.045 to 0.04999990%
- $0.05 to 0.05499990%
- $0.055 to 0.05999990%
- $0.08 to 0.08499990%
- $0.085 to 0.08999990%
- $0.09 to 0.09499990%
- $0.095 to 0.09999990%
- $0.1 to 0.10499990%
- $0.105 to 0.10999990%
- $0.11 to 0.11499990%
- $0.115 to 0.11999990%
- $0.12 to 0.12499990%
- $0.125 to 0.12999990%
- $0.13 to 0.13499990%
- $0.135 to 0.13999990%
- $0.14 to 0.14499990%
- $0.145 to 0.14999990%
- $0.15 to 0.15499990%
- $0.155 to 0.15999990%
- $0.16 to 0.16499990%
- $0.165 to 0.16999990%
- $0.17 to 0.17499990%
- $0.175 to 0.17999990%
- $0.18 to 0.18499990%
- $0.185 to 0.18999990%
- $0.19 to 0.19499990%
- $0.195 to 0.19999990%
- $0.2 to 0.20499990%
- $0.205 to 0.20999990%
- $0.21 to 0.21499990%
- $0.215 to 0.21999990%
- $0.22 to 0.22499990%
나머지 11개는 칼시에서 보세요.
- $690 to 694.9937%
- $695 to 699.9926%
- $685 to 689.9911%
- $700 to 704.997%
선택지 36개 더 보기
- $715 to 719.990%
- $594.99 or below0%
- $785 이상0%
- $670 to 674.990%
- $675 to 679.990%
- $710 to 714.990%
- $705 to 709.990%
- $680 to 684.990%
- $595 to 599.990%
- $600 to 604.990%
- $605 to 609.990%
- $610 to 614.990%
- $625 to 629.990%
- $650 to 654.990%
- $760 to 764.990%
- $765 to 769.990%
- $770 to 774.990%
- $620 to 624.990%
- $630 to 634.990%
- $635 to 639.990%
- $660 to 664.990%
- $725 to 729.990%
- $745 to 749.990%
- $750 to 754.990%
- $615 to 619.990%
- $665 to 669.990%
- $645 to 649.990%
- $735 to 739.990%
- $740 to 744.990%
- $755 to 759.990%
- $775 to 779.990%
- $780 to 784.990%
- $730 to 734.990%
- $720 to 724.990%
- $640 to 644.990%
- $655 to 659.990%
- 오름▼0.5%p49.5%
- 내림▲0.5%p50.5%
- 오름50%
- 내림50%
- 오름50.5%
- 내림49.5%
- 오름50%
- 내림50%
- 오름▼0.5%p49.5%
- 내림▲0.5%p50.5%
- 오름▼0.5%p49.5%
- 내림▲0.5%p50.5%
- 오름▼0.5%p49.5%
- 내림▲0.5%p50.5%
- 24,600 이상99.5%
- 24,610 이상99.5%
- 24,620 이상99.5%
- 24,630 이상99.5%
선택지 396개 더 보기
- 24,640 이상99.5%
- 24,650 이상99.5%
- 24,660 이상99.5%
- 24,670 이상99.5%
- 24,680 이상99.5%
- 24,690 이상99.5%
- 24,700 이상95%
- 24,710 이상95%
- 24,720 이상95%
- 24,730 이상95%
- 24,740 이상95%
- 24,750 이상95%
- 24,760 이상95%
- 24,770 이상95%
- 24,780 이상95%
- 24,790 이상95%
- 24,800 이상95%
- 24,810 이상95%
- 24,820 이상95%
- 24,830 이상95%
- 24,840 이상95%
- 24,850 이상95%
- 24,860 이상95%
- 24,870 이상95%
- 24,880 이상95%
- 24,890 이상95%
- 24,900 이상95%
- 24,910 이상95%
- 24,920 이상95%
- 24,930 이상95%
- 24,940 이상95%
- 24,950 이상95%
- 24,960 이상95%
- 24,970 이상95%
- 24,980 이상95%
- 24,990 이상95%
나머지 360개는 칼시에서 보세요.
- $86 to 86.99998%
- $90 to 90.99997%
- $89 to 89.99996.5%
- $91 to 91.99996.5%
선택지 46개 더 보기
- $93 to 93.99996%
- $87 to 87.99996%
- $88 to 88.99995.5%
- $94 to 94.99994.5%
- $95 to 95.99992%
- $66 to 66.99990%
- $106 to 106.99990%
- $107 to 107.99990%
- $61 to 61.99990%
- $65 to 65.99990%
- $69 to 69.99990%
- $70 to 70.99990%
- $71 to 71.99990%
- $72 to 72.99990%
- $76 to 76.99990%
- $60.9999 or below0%
- $102 to 102.99990%
- $103 to 103.99990%
- $104 to 104.99990%
- $108 to 108.99990%
- $73 to 73.99990%
- $74 to 74.99990%
- $109 이상0%
- $101 to 101.99990%
- $105 to 105.99990%
- $77 to 77.99990%
- $78 to 78.99990%
- $80 to 80.99990%
- $100 to 100.99990%
- $79 to 79.99990%
- $81 to 81.99990%
- $82 to 82.99990%
- $97 to 97.99990%
- $98 to 98.99990%
- $99 to 99.99990%
- $83 to 83.99990%
나머지 10개는 칼시에서 보세요.
- $575 to 579.9953%
- $570 to 574.990%
- $620 to 624.990%
- $635 to 639.990%
선택지 46개 더 보기
- $730 to 734.990%
- $745 to 749.990%
- $585 to 589.990%
- $590 to 594.990%
- $600 to 604.990%
- $615 to 619.990%
- $640 to 644.990%
- $655 to 659.990%
- $725 to 729.990%
- $750 to 754.990%
- $765 to 769.990%
- $770 to 774.990%
- $785 to 789.990%
- $790 to 794.990%
- $800 to 804.990%
- $810 이상0%
- $595 to 599.990%
- $605 to 609.990%
- $610 to 614.990%
- $625 to 629.990%
- $630 to 634.990%
- $645 to 649.990%
- $650 to 654.990%
- $720 to 724.990%
- $735 to 739.990%
- $740 to 744.990%
- $755 to 759.990%
- $760 to 764.990%
- $775 to 779.990%
- $569.99 or below0%
- $795 to 799.990%
- $805 to 809.990%
- $580 to 584.990%
- $780 to 784.990%
- $660 to 664.990%
- $665 to 669.990%
나머지 10개는 칼시에서 보세요.
- $1.14 to 1.159952%
- $1.16 to 1.179945%
- $0.38 to 0.39990%
- $0.4 to 0.41990%
선택지 71개 더 보기
- $0.42 to 0.43990%
- $0.44 to 0.45990%
- $0.46 to 0.47990%
- $0.48 to 0.49990%
- $0.5 to 0.51990%
- $0.52 to 0.53990%
- $0.54 to 0.55990%
- $0.56 to 0.57990%
- $0.58 to 0.59990%
- $0.6 to 0.61990%
- $0.62 to 0.63990%
- $0.64 to 0.65990%
- $0.66 to 0.67990%
- $0.68 to 0.69990%
- $0.7 to 0.71990%
- $0.72 to 0.73990%
- $0.74 to 0.75990%
- $0.76 to 0.77990%
- $0.78 to 0.79990%
- $0.8 to 0.81990%
- $0.82 to 0.83990%
- $0.84 to 0.85990%
- $0.86 to 0.87990%
- $0.88 to 0.89990%
- $0.9 to 0.91990%
- $0.92 to 0.93990%
- $0.94 to 0.95990%
- $0.96 to 0.97990%
- $0.98 to 0.99990%
- $1 to 1.01990%
- $1.3 to 1.31990%
- $1.32 to 1.33990%
- $1.34 to 1.35990%
- $1.36 to 1.37990%
- $1.38 to 1.39990%
- $1.4 to 1.41990%
나머지 35개는 칼시에서 보세요.
확률 = 「예」 한 장의 마지막 거래 가격(1달러 = 100%)이며, 결과를 보장하지 않습니다. ▲▼ = 하루 전보다 바뀐 확률(%p). 폴리마켓 금액은 달러를 지금 환율로 원화로 바꾼 값, 칼시는 거래된 계약 수(1계약은 맞으면 1달러)입니다. 「모든 곳」의 거래량 순서는 칼시 계약 수에 가격을 곱해 달러 규모로 어림해 맞췄습니다. 이벤트 목록은 두 곳에서 지금 진행 중인 것 전부이며(폴리마켓 20분·칼시 10분마다 전체를 다시 받고, 인기 이벤트 가격은 5분마다), 위 숫자 칸은 그 전체의 합계입니다. 제목·선택지는 자동 번역이며, 글자 위에 마우스를 올리면 원문이 보입니다. 이벤트 제목을 누르면 해당 플랫폼으로 갑니다. 확률은 참고용 정보입니다.
자료: Polymarket · Kalshi · 10분 전 갱신 (11월 8일 02:28 받음)
이벤트 상세
관련 영상
최근 1년 안에 각 나라 방송·통신·신문사와 리그·기관 공식 채널이 올린 영상 가운데 이 주제를 다룬 것만 골랐습니다. 영상 내용은 각 채널의 보도이며 투자·베팅 권유가 아닙니다. 해외 영상 제목은 기계 번역입니다.
