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선거·경제·스포츠·코인 가격 같은 일이 어떻게 될지 사람들이 돈을 걸어 매긴 확률입니다. 폴리마켓·칼시 두 곳을 한 화면에 모았습니다.

진행 중 이벤트34,798개폴리마켓 17,982 · 칼시 16,816
24시간 거래량₩895억폴리마켓 · 칼시 1.1억계약
누적 거래량₩7.5조폴리마켓 · 칼시 23.7억계약
미결제 약정₩3,843억폴리마켓(칼시는 공개 자료에 없음)
유동성₩8,245억폴리마켓 주문장 기준
  • Real Sporting de Gijón 3 - 5 Real Valladolid CF▼4.5%p20.5%
  • Real Sporting de Gijón 5 - 4 Real Valladolid CF▲3.5%p17.5%
  • Real Sporting de Gijón 5 - 3 Real Valladolid CF▼7.5%p17.5%
  • Any Other Score▲2.0%p17.5%
선택지 33개 더 보기
  • Real Sporting de Gijón 1 - 1 Real Valladolid CF14.5%
  • Real Sporting de Gijón 0 - 5 Real Valladolid CF▼10.5%p14%
  • Real Sporting de Gijón 4 - 5 Real Valladolid CF▼4.9%p13.7%
  • Real Sporting de Gijón 4 - 3 Real Valladolid CF▼5.5%p12.4%
  • Real Sporting de Gijón 5 - 0 Real Valladolid CF▼13.0%p11.5%
  • Real Sporting de Gijón 1 - 0 Real Valladolid CF▲1.0%p11%
  • Real Sporting de Gijón 0 - 0 Real Valladolid CF▲2.0%p10%
  • Real Sporting de Gijón 0 - 1 Real Valladolid CF▲1.5%p9.5%
  • Real Sporting de Gijón 5 - 1 Real Valladolid CF▼15.0%p9.5%
  • Real Sporting de Gijón 1 - 4 Real Valladolid CF▼15.0%p9.2%
  • Real Sporting de Gijón 2 - 1 Real Valladolid CF▲1.0%p8.5%
  • Real Sporting de Gijón 4 - 0 Real Valladolid CF▲6.5%p8.25%
  • Real Sporting de Gijón 0 - 4 Real Valladolid CF▼16.0%p8%
  • Real Sporting de Gijón 1 - 5 Real Valladolid CF▼16.5%p8%
  • Real Sporting de Gijón 1 - 2 Real Valladolid CF▲1.5%p7.5%
  • Real Sporting de Gijón 2 - 0 Real Valladolid CF▲1.0%p7%
  • Real Sporting de Gijón 2 - 2 Real Valladolid CF▲1.7%p5.55%
  • Real Sporting de Gijón 0 - 2 Real Valladolid CF▲1.1%p5.1%
  • Real Sporting de Gijón 5 - 5 Real Valladolid CF5%
  • Real Sporting de Gijón 2 - 4 Real Valladolid CF▼0.1%p4.85%
  • Real Sporting de Gijón 2 - 5 Real Valladolid CF▼0.1%p4.45%
  • Real Sporting de Gijón 3 - 4 Real Valladolid CF3.95%
  • Real Sporting de Gijón 3 - 1 Real Valladolid CF▲0.3%p3.6%
  • Real Sporting de Gijón 5 - 2 Real Valladolid CF▼0.1%p3.45%
  • Real Sporting de Gijón 4 - 4 Real Valladolid CF3.45%
  • Real Sporting de Gijón 3 - 0 Real Valladolid CF▼0.1%p2.95%
  • Real Sporting de Gijón 1 - 3 Real Valladolid CF2.65%
  • Real Sporting de Gijón 4 - 2 Real Valladolid CF▼2.4%p2.55%
  • Real Sporting de Gijón 3 - 2 Real Valladolid CF▼0.1%p2.25%
  • Real Sporting de Gijón 0 - 3 Real Valladolid CF▼0.4%p1.85%
  • Real Sporting de Gijón 4 - 1 Real Valladolid CF▼0.1%p1.75%
  • Real Sporting de Gijón 2 - 3 Real Valladolid CF▼0.5%p1.7%
  • Real Sporting de Gijón 3 - 3 Real Valladolid CF▼4.1%p0.8%
폴리마켓마감 11월 9일 오전 2:3024시간 ₩19만누적 ₩6,141만
  • FK LNZ Cherkasy37.5%
  • FK Zorya Luhansk▲2.0%p32.5%
  • Draw (FK Zorya Luhansk vs. FK LNZ Cherkasy)31.5%
폴리마켓마감 11월 8일 오후 8시24시간 ₩19만누적 ₩34만
  • Union Saint-Gilloise 5 - 3 KRC Genk▼1.0%p23.5%
  • Union Saint-Gilloise 3 - 5 KRC Genk▼2.5%p22%
  • Union Saint-Gilloise 5 - 5 KRC Genk▲5.9%p21.9%
  • Union Saint-Gilloise 5 - 4 KRC Genk▲0.4%p18.4%
선택지 33개 더 보기
  • Union Saint-Gilloise 3 - 4 KRC Genk▲6.3%p18.2%
  • Union Saint-Gilloise 4 - 3 KRC Genk▼5.8%p14.5%
  • Any Other Score▼10.5%p14.5%
  • Union Saint-Gilloise 0 - 5 KRC Genk▼5.0%p14%
  • Union Saint-Gilloise 2 - 5 KRC Genk▼5.0%p14%
  • Union Saint-Gilloise 4 - 5 KRC Genk▼11.0%p14%
  • Union Saint-Gilloise 1 - 5 KRC Genk▼5.5%p13.5%
  • Union Saint-Gilloise 5 - 2 KRC Genk▼11.0%p13.5%
  • Union Saint-Gilloise 1 - 4 KRC Genk▲8.8%p12.8%
  • Union Saint-Gilloise 0 - 4 KRC Genk▲9.9%p12.6%
  • Union Saint-Gilloise 4 - 4 KRC Genk▼7.2%p11.7%
  • Union Saint-Gilloise 2 - 1 KRC Genk▲1.0%p10.5%
  • Union Saint-Gilloise 1 - 1 KRC Genk▲1.0%p10%
  • Union Saint-Gilloise 2 - 0 KRC Genk▲1.5%p9.5%
  • Union Saint-Gilloise 1 - 0 KRC Genk▲1.0%p9%
  • Union Saint-Gilloise 3 - 1 KRC Genk▲1.5%p7%
  • Union Saint-Gilloise 3 - 0 KRC Genk▲1.0%p6%
  • Union Saint-Gilloise 2 - 2 KRC Genk▲2.0%p6%
  • Union Saint-Gilloise 1 - 2 KRC Genk▲0.9%p4.85%
  • Union Saint-Gilloise 0 - 0 KRC Genk▲1.0%p4.8%
  • Union Saint-Gilloise 2 - 4 KRC Genk▼14.0%p4.5%
  • Union Saint-Gilloise 0 - 1 KRC Genk▲0.9%p4.35%
  • Union Saint-Gilloise 3 - 2 KRC Genk▲1.3%p3.95%
  • Union Saint-Gilloise 4 - 0 KRC Genk2.65%
  • Union Saint-Gilloise 4 - 1 KRC Genk▼0.1%p2.65%
  • Union Saint-Gilloise 5 - 1 KRC Genk▼0.1%p2.3%
  • Union Saint-Gilloise 0 - 2 KRC Genk▼0.4%p2.25%
  • Union Saint-Gilloise 5 - 0 KRC Genk▼0.1%p2.25%
  • Union Saint-Gilloise 4 - 2 KRC Genk▼0.4%p2%
  • Union Saint-Gilloise 2 - 3 KRC Genk▼0.7%p1.75%
  • Union Saint-Gilloise 1 - 3 KRC Genk▼0.9%p1.55%
  • Union Saint-Gilloise 3 - 3 KRC Genk▼1.2%p1.15%
  • Union Saint-Gilloise 0 - 3 KRC Genk▼3.3%p0.6%
폴리마켓마감 11월 9일 오전 2:3024시간 ₩19만누적 ₩19만
  • Çaykur Rizespor▲0.5%p50.5%
  • Draw (Çaykur Rizespor vs. Erzurumspor FK)▲0.5%p26.5%
  • Erzurumspor FK▼0.5%p23.5%
폴리마켓마감 11월 8일 오후 7:3024시간 ₩19만누적 ₩19만
  • -4°C32.5%
  • -1°C32.5%
  • -5°C 이하26.5%
  • -3°C24.5%
선택지 7개 더 보기
  • 5°C 이상13.5%
  • -2°C12%
  • 0°C8.5%
  • 1°C8.5%
  • 2°C4.75%
  • 3°C2.55%
  • 4°C2.5%
폴리마켓마감 11월 9일 오후 9시24시간 ₩19만누적 ₩19만
  • SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 5 - 3 PSV▼5.0%p19.5%
  • SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 3 - 5 PSV▼6.5%p18.5%
  • SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 5 - 1 PSV▲0.5%p18%
  • SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 5 - 0 PSV17.5%
선택지 33개 더 보기
  • SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 5 - 4 PSV▼4.0%p17.5%
  • Any Other Score▼7.5%p17.5%
  • SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 4 - 3 PSV▼8.2%p16.8%
  • SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 4 - 0 PSV▼7.0%p16.1%
  • SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 4 - 5 PSV▼11.5%p13.5%
  • SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 1 - 2 PSV▲0.5%p9%
  • SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 1 - 3 PSV▲1.5%p8%
  • SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 0 - 2 PSV▲1.5%p7%
  • SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 1 - 1 PSV▲2.0%p6.5%
  • SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 0 - 3 PSV▲1.5%p6.5%
  • SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 2 - 2 PSV▲0.9%p5.65%
  • SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 1 - 4 PSV▲1.5%p5.5%
  • SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 0 - 1 PSV▲1.1%p5.45%
  • SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 2 - 3 PSV▲1.2%p5.1%
  • SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 5 - 5 PSV5%
  • SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 2 - 1 PSV▲0.5%p3.7%
  • SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 4 - 4 PSV▼2.0%p3.45%
  • SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 0 - 4 PSV▼0.3%p3.4%
  • SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 1 - 5 PSV▼0.1%p2.9%
  • SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 0 - 5 PSV▼0.1%p2.55%
  • SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 2 - 4 PSV▼0.3%p2.45%
  • SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 2 - 5 PSV▼0.1%p2.25%
  • SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 1 - 0 PSV▼0.3%p2.2%
  • SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 4 - 1 PSV▼21.1%p2.15%
  • SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 4 - 2 PSV▼0.4%p2.15%
  • SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 3 - 2 PSV▼0.4%p2.05%
  • SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 3 - 3 PSV▼0.4%p2%
  • SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 5 - 2 PSV▲0.1%p1.95%
  • SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 0 - 0 PSV1.85%
  • SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 3 - 1 PSV▼0.5%p1.55%
  • SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 2 - 0 PSV▼0.5%p1.4%
  • SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 3 - 4 PSV▼0.9%p1.15%
  • SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 3 - 0 PSV▼2.9%p0.6%
폴리마켓마감 11월 9일 오전 12:4524시간 ₩19만누적 ₩6,762만
  • Sumqayit FK▼1.0%p38%
  • Imisli FK▲4.0%p31.5%
  • Draw (Imisli FK vs. Sumqayit FK)▲1.0%p30.5%
폴리마켓마감 11월 8일 오후 8시24시간 ₩18만누적 ₩18만
  • Dallas Goedert: Team First TD (Philadelphia Eagles)50%
  • Isaiah Likely: Team First TD (New York Giants)50%
  • J.J. McCarthy: Team First TD (New York Giants)50%
  • Malik Nabers: Team First TD (New York Giants)50%
선택지 56개 더 보기
  • Saquon Barkley: Team First TD (Philadelphia Eagles)50%
  • Darnell Mooney: Team First TD (New York Giants)50%
  • Malachi Fields: Team First TD (New York Giants)50%
  • Devin Singletary: Team First TD (New York Giants)50%
  • Makai Lemon: Team First TD (Philadelphia Eagles)50%
  • Jaydon Blue: Anytime Touchdown50%
  • Darius Cooper: Team First TD (Philadelphia Eagles)50%
  • Eli Stowers: Team First TD (Philadelphia Eagles)50%
  • Hollywood Brown: Team First TD (Philadelphia Eagles)50%
  • Jaydon Blue: Team First TD (Philadelphia Eagles)50%
  • Theo Johnson: Team First TD (New York Giants)50%
  • Joe Milton III: Team First TD (Philadelphia Eagles)50%
  • Gregory Desrosiers: Team First TD (New York Giants)50%
  • Elijah Moore: Anytime Touchdown50%
  • Elijah Moore: Team First TD (Philadelphia Eagles)50%
  • Chris Manhertz: Anytime Touchdown50%
  • Chris Manhertz: Team First TD (New York Giants)50%
  • Thomas Fidone II: Anytime Touchdown50%
  • Thomas Fidone II: Team First TD (New York Giants)50%
  • Elijah Mitchell: Team First TD (Philadelphia Eagles)50%
  • Jalin Hyatt: Anytime Touchdown50%
  • Jalin Hyatt: Team First TD (New York Giants)50%
  • Darnell Mooney: 2+ Touchdowns▼0.1%p49.9%
  • Theo Johnson: 2+ Touchdowns▼0.1%p49.9%
  • J.J. McCarthy: 2+ Touchdowns▼0.1%p49.9%
  • Darius Cooper: 2+ Touchdowns▼0.1%p49.9%
  • Elijah Mitchell: 2+ Touchdowns49.9%
  • Dallas Goedert: 2+ Touchdowns▼0.1%p49.8%
  • Isaiah Likely: 2+ Touchdowns▼0.1%p49.8%
  • Malachi Fields: 2+ Touchdowns▼0.1%p49.8%
  • Makai Lemon: 2+ Touchdowns▼0.2%p49.8%
  • Joe Milton III: 2+ Touchdowns▼0.1%p49.8%
  • Gregory Desrosiers: 2+ Touchdowns49.5%
  • Hollywood Brown: 2+ Touchdowns▼1.0%p48.5%
  • Isaiah Likely: Anytime Touchdown▼3.5%p25%
  • Devin Singletary: Anytime Touchdown▼18.0%p25%

나머지 20개는 폴리마켓에서 보세요.

폴리마켓마감 11월 9일 오전 3시24시간 ₩18만누적 ₩273만
  • WSG Tirol 5 - 4 FK Austria Wien▼1.2%p19.3%
  • WSG Tirol 4 - 4 FK Austria Wien▼6.8%p17.2%
  • WSG Tirol 4 - 5 FK Austria Wien▼7.5%p14.5%
  • WSG Tirol 5 - 5 FK Austria Wien▼11.6%p13.4%
선택지 33개 더 보기
  • WSG Tirol 1 - 1 FK Austria Wien▼0.5%p12.5%
  • WSG Tirol 1 - 5 FK Austria Wien▼7.0%p12%
  • WSG Tirol 3 - 5 FK Austria Wien▼12.5%p12%
  • WSG Tirol 5 - 3 FK Austria Wien▼13.0%p12%
  • Any Other Score▼0.5%p12%
  • WSG Tirol 4 - 3 FK Austria Wien▲6.1%p11.9%
  • WSG Tirol 3 - 4 FK Austria Wien▼11.8%p11.8%
  • WSG Tirol 4 - 0 FK Austria Wien▲7.1%p10.3%
  • WSG Tirol 4 - 1 FK Austria Wien▲6.1%p10.3%
  • WSG Tirol 4 - 2 FK Austria Wien▲5.3%p9.9%
  • WSG Tirol 2 - 4 FK Austria Wien▲5.2%p9.65%
  • WSG Tirol 0 - 5 FK Austria Wien▼11.0%p9.5%
  • WSG Tirol 5 - 1 FK Austria Wien▼9.5%p9.5%
  • WSG Tirol 2 - 5 FK Austria Wien▼9.5%p9.5%
  • WSG Tirol 5 - 2 FK Austria Wien▼10.0%p9%
  • WSG Tirol 0 - 4 FK Austria Wien▲5.9%p8.6%
  • WSG Tirol 1 - 2 FK Austria Wien▲1.0%p8.5%
  • WSG Tirol 2 - 1 FK Austria Wien▲2.0%p8.5%
  • WSG Tirol 0 - 1 FK Austria Wien▲1.5%p8%
  • WSG Tirol 1 - 0 FK Austria Wien▲2.0%p8%
  • WSG Tirol 5 - 0 FK Austria Wien▼12.0%p8%
  • WSG Tirol 2 - 2 FK Austria Wien▲1.5%p6.5%
  • WSG Tirol 0 - 0 FK Austria Wien▲1.0%p6%
  • WSG Tirol 0 - 2 FK Austria Wien▲1.5%p5.5%
  • WSG Tirol 2 - 0 FK Austria Wien▲1.8%p5.25%
  • WSG Tirol 1 - 3 FK Austria Wien▲1.1%p4.05%
  • WSG Tirol 3 - 1 FK Austria Wien▼20.6%p3.85%
  • WSG Tirol 2 - 3 FK Austria Wien▼21.6%p3%
  • WSG Tirol 3 - 2 FK Austria Wien▲0.1%p3%
  • WSG Tirol 0 - 3 FK Austria Wien▼0.4%p2.8%
  • WSG Tirol 3 - 0 FK Austria Wien▼0.5%p2.6%
  • WSG Tirol 3 - 3 FK Austria Wien▼0.8%p1.65%
  • WSG Tirol 1 - 4 FK Austria Wien1.4%
폴리마켓마감 11월 8일 오후 10:3024시간 ₩18만누적 ₩18만
  • Cavaliers▲4.0%p56.5%
  • Heat▼4.0%p43.5%
폴리마켓마감 11월 14일 오전 10시24시간 ₩18만누적 ₩18만
  • Servette Geneva 2 - 4 FC Zurich▼0.1%p24.4%
  • Servette Geneva 0 - 5 FC Zurich▼0.5%p24%
  • Servette Geneva 3 - 5 FC Zurich▼1.0%p24%
  • Servette Geneva 5 - 0 FC Zurich▼1.5%p23.5%
선택지 33개 더 보기
  • Servette Geneva 1 - 5 FC Zurich▼1.5%p23.5%
  • Servette Geneva 5 - 2 FC Zurich▼1.5%p23.5%
  • Servette Geneva 2 - 5 FC Zurich▼2.0%p23%
  • Servette Geneva 4 - 5 FC Zurich▼0.5%p23%
  • Servette Geneva 1 - 4 FC Zurich▼1.6%p22.9%
  • Servette Geneva 5 - 1 FC Zurich▼2.0%p22.5%
  • Servette Geneva 4 - 1 FC Zurich▼3.5%p20.5%
  • Servette Geneva 0 - 4 FC Zurich▼5.0%p19.5%
  • Servette Geneva 4 - 0 FC Zurich▼4.5%p19.5%
  • Servette Geneva 5 - 5 FC Zurich▼7.1%p17.9%
  • Any Other Score▼9.5%p15%
  • Servette Geneva 3 - 4 FC Zurich▼10.0%p14.5%
  • Servette Geneva 5 - 3 FC Zurich▼10.5%p14.5%
  • Servette Geneva 4 - 4 FC Zurich▲0.4%p14.4%
  • Servette Geneva 4 - 3 FC Zurich▼4.5%p12.4%
  • Servette Geneva 5 - 4 FC Zurich▼10.1%p12.4%
  • Servette Geneva 1 - 1 FC Zurich▲1.5%p11%
  • Servette Geneva 2 - 1 FC Zurich▲1.5%p9.5%
  • Servette Geneva 1 - 0 FC Zurich▲1.5%p7.5%
  • Servette Geneva 2 - 0 FC Zurich▲1.0%p7%
  • Servette Geneva 1 - 2 FC Zurich▲2.0%p7%
  • Servette Geneva 2 - 2 FC Zurich▲2.0%p7%
  • Servette Geneva 3 - 1 FC Zurich▲1.5%p6%
  • Servette Geneva 0 - 1 FC Zurich▼1.4%p5.15%
  • Servette Geneva 3 - 0 FC Zurich▼18.4%p5.15%
  • Servette Geneva 0 - 0 FC Zurich▲0.7%p4.65%
  • Servette Geneva 3 - 2 FC Zurich▼8.8%p4%
  • Servette Geneva 0 - 2 FC Zurich▼2.6%p3.4%
  • Servette Geneva 1 - 3 FC Zurich▼21.1%p2.85%
  • Servette Geneva 2 - 3 FC Zurich▼4.0%p2.75%
  • Servette Geneva 3 - 3 FC Zurich▼1.3%p1.75%
  • Servette Geneva 0 - 3 FC Zurich▼22.4%p1.55%
  • Servette Geneva 4 - 2 FC Zurich▼0.2%p1.5%
폴리마켓마감 11월 9일 오전 12:3024시간 ₩18만누적 ₩18만
  • VfL Bochum53.5%
  • Karlsruher SC▲0.5%p23.5%
  • Draw (VfL Bochum vs. Karlsruher SC)22.5%
폴리마켓마감 11월 8일 오후 9:3024시간 ₩17만누적 ₩60만
  • Rangers▲0.5%p41.5%
  • Oilers▼0.5%p58.5%
폴리마켓마감 11월 10일 오전 10시24시간 ₩17만누적 ₩21만
  • Both Teams to Score▲20.5%p59%
  • Both Teams to Score in First Half▼4.5%p25.5%
폴리마켓마감 11월 8일 오후 9:1524시간 ₩17만누적 ₩17만
  • SC Corinthians Paulista▲18.0%p53.5%
  • Draw (SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Botafogo FR)▼29.0%p26%
  • Botafogo FR▼8.5%p20.5%
폴리마켓마감 11월 19일 오전 9:3024시간 ₩17만누적 ₩17만

확률 = 「예」 한 장의 마지막 거래 가격(1달러 = 100%)이며, 결과를 보장하지 않습니다. ▲▼ = 하루 전보다 바뀐 확률(%p). 폴리마켓 금액은 달러를 지금 환율로 원화로 바꾼 값, 칼시는 거래된 계약 수(1계약은 맞으면 1달러)입니다. 「모든 곳」의 거래량 순서는 칼시 계약 수에 가격을 곱해 달러 규모로 어림해 맞췄습니다. 이벤트 목록은 두 곳에서 지금 진행 중인 것 전부이며(폴리마켓 20분·칼시 10분마다 전체를 다시 받고, 인기 이벤트 가격은 5분마다), 위 숫자 칸은 그 전체의 합계입니다. 제목·선택지는 자동 번역이며, 글자 위에 마우스를 올리면 원문이 보입니다. 이벤트 제목을 누르면 해당 플랫폼으로 갑니다. 확률은 참고용 정보입니다.

자료: Polymarket · Kalshi · 5분 전 갱신 (11월 8일 10:40 받음)

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